Our Teams

Morgan Henderson is the director of analytics and research, as well as a principal data scientist at The Hilltop Institute, where he is responsible for conducting research and quantitative analysis for a variety of projects.

Morgan developed and maintains the validation models for Hilltop’s Pre-AH Model™ risk scores, which transform Medicare and Medicaid claims into person-month risk factors in order to generate predictions of avoidable hospital risk. This score covers almost 400,000 Medicare beneficiaries and 1.4 million Medicaid beneficiaries and is distributed to hundreds of primary care practices around Maryland. Additionally, Morgan led the development of a COVID-19 incentives methodology and a revised value-based purchasing methodology for Maryland’s Medicaid managed care organizations; co-developed Hilltop’s hospital price transparency research agenda; conducted a study on the economic effects of Medicaid expansion in Mississippi; developed the methodological approach for the Maryland Prescription Drug Affordability Board; and has worked on other projects including the  development of financially sound rate methodologies for fee-for-service (FFS) programs, the development and implementation of optimization models for use in program budgeting, managed care rate setting, the  development of an out-of-pocket cost calculator for use by the Maryland Health Benefit Exchange, the development of an alternative measure of hospital readmissions, and other forecasting and simulation work.